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Societal Implications of Individual Differences in Response to Turbulence: The Case of Terrorism
 

Roxane Cohen Silver, PhD

Principal Investigator, University of California, Irvine


Richard Matthew, PhD

Co-Principal Investigator, University of California, Irvine

 
George Shambaugh, PhD

Co-Principal Investigator, Georgetown University
 

Research Team

  • Justin Barker, University of California, Irvine

  • Scott Blum, University of California, Irvine

  • Paloma Gonzalez, Georgetown University

  • Bryan McDonald, University of California, Irvine

  • Michael Poulin, University of Michigan

 

This research project is funded by the National Science Foundation (Project #0624165). For more information about this project, please scroll down or select one of the links below:

 

- About this Project -

 

The final decades of the twentieth century witnessed a dramatic upsurge in the pace and scale of technological innovation, economic globalization, environmental change and political transformation. The impacts of these processes are varied and complex. On many fronts—from literacy to life expectancy—humankind has experienced remarkable and well-documented gains. But our interconnected and rapidly changing world is also being challenged by an expanding list of transnational threats such as climate change, infectious disease and global terrorism.

Political scientists are working to understand how these global threats are affecting democratic values, institutions, and practices. Social psychologists are studying the range of responses traumatic events elicit among individuals within a society. We believe it is important to weave these two strands of research together to investigate the extent to which traumatic events and perceptions of global threats may evoke different political responses that in aggregate can influence democratic values, institutions and practices. Building on research that we, and others, have undertaken, we are bringing our two fields together by studying how an individual’s age and age cohort influences his or her responses to terrorism and other security threats and the perceived likelihood of future threats. Because the United States is aging at a time of great turbulence in the global security landscape, it is important to consider how this fact impacts our country’s support for the use of force, conscription, and many other security-related issues. It also raises important general questions about issues such as trust in government, agenda setting and policy formulation in an aging democracy.

We are collecting data from a nationally representative, web-enabled longitudinal panel of 1500 adults at three waves over the course of the project period. The specific aims of this research are to explore the relationships among (a) aging and age cohorts; (b) individual interpretations of and responses to security-relevant forms of global turbulence and transformation; and (c) social and political outcomes such as changes in support for or protest against the use of force abroad, attitudes towards surveillance at home, and one’s level of trust in government. We will use the threat of transnational terrorism as the primary example of global turbulence and transformation, but we believe the findings generated by our research are equally relevant to issues such as infectious disease, severe weather events, and transnational crime.

 

- Publications -

 

Matthew, Richard, Bryan McDonald and George Shambaugh. (2008). "Post-9/11 America: Conventional Wisdom Versus Popular Pragmatism." Democracy & Society, Vol. 5 No. 2 (Spring 2008).

 

Silver, Roxane Cohen and Richard A. Matthew (in press). "Terrorism." In V. N. Parrillo (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Social Problems. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.

 

 

- Presentations -

 

McDonald, Bryan. (2008, April). "Food Security in Turbulent Times: Challenges from Nutrition, Safety and Environmental Change." Presented to the Osher Lifelong Learning Institute, Irvine, California.

 

Matthew, Richard, Bryan McDonald and George Shambaugh (2008, March). "Global Change and U.S. Public Opinion: Challenging Common Assumptions about the Impact of Terrorism." Presented at the 49th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, California, March 26th - March 29th, 2008.

 

Poulin, Michael J. Roxane Cohen Silver, and Scott Blum (2008, March). "How Does Terrorism Affect Policy? The Salience of 9/11, Terrorism Risk Perceptions, and Support for Terrorism-related Policies." Presented at the 49th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, California, March 26th - March 29th, 2008.

 

Shambaugh, George (2008, March). "Post-9/11 America: Conventional Wisdom versus Popular Pragmatism." Presented to the International Politics Series at St. Andrews University, Scotland, UK, on March 3, 2008

 

Shambaugh, George (2008, February). "Post-9/11 America: Conventional Wisdom versus Popular Pragmatism." Frank Wright Memorial Lecture, Queen's University, Belfast, NI, on February 28, 2008.

 

McDonald, Bryan. (2008, January). “Navigating the Changing Security Landscape.” Presented to the UC, Irvine Chancellor's Club, Irvine, CA.

 

Shambaugh, George (2008, January). "Post 9/11 America: Popular Pragmatism in Turbulent Times." Presented to School of Advanced International Studies, The Johns Hopkins University, Washington, D.C.
 

Matthew, Richard. (2007, December). "Think Again: 9/11 Transformed America." Presented to Center for Unconventional Security Affairs Advisory Board, Irvine, CA.

 

Silver, Roxane Cohen (2007, January). "Coping with Life's Tragedies: From Research to Policy." Plenary Speaker, Society for Personality and Social Psychology’s Annual Presidential Symposium, Memphis, TN.

 

  Related Publications

Matthew, Richard. (2008). "Threat Assessment." In Global Climate Change National Security Implications. Carolyn Pumphrey, ed. The Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College.

Seery, M. D., Silver, R. C., Holman, E. A., Ence, W. A., & Chu, T. Q. (in press). Expressing thoughts and feelings following a collective trauma: Immediate responses to 9/11 predict negative outcomes in a national sample. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology.

Updegraff, J. A., Silver, R. C., & Holman, E. A. (in press). Searching for and finding meaning in collective trauma: Results from a national longitudinal study of the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology.

Suvak, M., Maguen, S., Litz, B. T., Silver, R. C., & Holman, E. A. (2008). Indirect exposure to the September 11 terrorist attacks: Does symptom structure resemble PTSD? Journal of Traumatic Stress, 21, 30-39.

Holman, E. A., Silver, R. C., Poulin, M., Andersen, J., Gil-Rivas, V., & McIntosh, D. N. (2008).  Terrorism, acute stress, and cardiovascular health: A 3-year national study following the September 11th attacks.  Archives of General Psychiatry, 65, 73-80.

Brown, L. M., Schinka, J. A., & Silver, R. C. (2007).  Disasters and terrorism.  In K. S. Markides (Ed.), Encyclopedia of health and aging (pp. 159-162).  Thousand Oaks, CA:  Sage.

Gil-Rivas, V., Silver, R. C., Holman, E. A., McIntosh, D. N., & Poulin, M. (2007). Parental response and adolescent adjustment to the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. Journal of Traumatic Stress, 20, 1063-1068.

Chu, T.Q., Seery, M. D., Ence, W. A., Holman, E. A., & Silver, R. C. (2006). Ethnicity and gender in the face of a terrorist attack: A national longitudinal study of immediate responses and outcomes two years after September 11.  Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 28, 291-301.

Matthew, Richard and Bryan McDonald. "Cities Under Siege: Urban Planning and the Threat of Infectious Disease." Journal of the American Planning Association (JAPA) Vol. 72 No. 1 (Winter 2006): 109-117.

Schlenger, W. E., & Silver, R. C. (2006). Web-based methods in terrorism and disaster research. Journal of Traumatic Stress, 19, 185-193.

Silver, R. C., Holman, E. A., McIntosh, D. N., Poulin, M., Gil-Rivas, V., & Pizarro, J. (2006). Coping with a national trauma: A nationwide longitudinal study of responses to the terrorist attacks of September 11. In Y. Neria, R. Gross, R. Marshall, & E. Susser (Eds.), 9/11: Mental health in the wake of terrorist attacks (pp. 45-70). NY: Cambridge University Press.

Silver, R. C. (2006, September/October).  Attacking the mythsScience & Spirit, 17 (5), 26-29.

Holman, E. A., & Silver R. C. (2005).  Future-oriented thinking and adjustment in a nationwide longitudinal study following the September 11th terrorist attacks.  Motivation and Emotion, 29, 389-410.

Matthew, Richard  and George Shambaugh. "The Limits of Terrorism: A Network Perspective." International Studies Review Vol. 7 No 4 (December 2005).

Matthew, Richard  and George Shambaugh. "The Pendulum Effect: Explaining Shifts in the Democratic Response to Terrorism." ASAP: Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy Vol. 5 No. 1 (2005).

Gil-Rivas, V., Holman, E. A., & Silver, R. C. (2004). Adolescent vulnerability following the September 11th terrorist attacks: A study of parents and their children. Applied Developmental Science, 8, 130-142.

Matthew, Richard A.  and Bryan McDonald. "Networks of Threat and Vulnerability: Lessons from Environmental Security Research." Environmental Change and Security Project Report 10 (2004).

Silver, R. C., Poulin, M., Holman, E. A., McIntosh, D. N., Gil-Rivas, V., & Pizarro, J. (2004).  Exploring the myths of coping with a national trauma:  A longitudinal study of responses to the September 11th terrorist attacks. Journal of Aggression, Maltreatment & Trauma, 9, 129-141.

Silver, R. C. (2004).  Conducting research after the 9/11 terrorist attacks:  Challenges and results. Families, Systems & Health, 22, 47-51.

Silver, R. C. (2004). The myths of healing. Families, Systems & Health, 22, 61-63.

Silver, R. C., Holman, E. A., McIntosh, D. N., Poulin, M., & Gil-Rivas, V. (2002). Nationwide longitudinal study of psychological responses to September 11. JAMA: Journal of the American Medical Association, 288, 1235-1244.

Matthew, Richard A. & George Shambaugh. 1998. "Sex, Drugs and Heavy Metal: Transnational Threats and National Vulnerabilities." Security Dialogue 29 (2).

For more information about this project, please contact:

Center for Unconventional Security Affairs
University of California, Irvine
Social Ecology I
Irvine, CA 92697-7075
Phone: (949) 824-8804
E-mail: cusa@uci.edu