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Societal Implications of Individual Differences in
Response to Turbulence: The Case of Terrorism
Roxane Cohen Silver, PhD
Principal Investigator, University of California,
Irvine
Richard Matthew, PhD
Co-Principal Investigator, University of
California, Irvine
George Shambaugh, PhD
Co-Principal Investigator, Georgetown
University
Research Team
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Justin Barker, University of
California, Irvine
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Scott Blum, University of
California, Irvine
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Paloma Gonzalez, Georgetown
University
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Bryan McDonald, University of
California, Irvine
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Michael Poulin, University of
Michigan

This research project is funded by the
National Science Foundation (Project #0624165).
For more information about this project, please scroll down or select one of the
links below:

- About this Project -
The final decades of the twentieth century
witnessed a dramatic upsurge in the pace and scale of technological innovation,
economic globalization, environmental change and political transformation. The
impacts of these processes are varied and complex. On many fronts—from literacy
to life expectancy—humankind has experienced remarkable and well-documented
gains. But our interconnected and rapidly changing world is also being
challenged by an expanding list of transnational threats such as climate change,
infectious disease and global terrorism.
Political scientists are working to understand how these global threats are
affecting democratic values, institutions, and practices. Social psychologists
are studying the range of responses traumatic events elicit among individuals
within a society. We believe it is important to weave these two strands of
research together to investigate the extent to which traumatic events and
perceptions of global threats may evoke different political responses that in
aggregate can influence democratic values, institutions and practices. Building
on research that we, and others, have undertaken, we are bringing our two fields
together by studying how an individual’s age and age cohort influences his or
her responses to terrorism and other security threats and the perceived
likelihood of future threats. Because the United States is aging at a time of
great turbulence in the global security landscape, it is important to consider
how this fact impacts our country’s support for the use of force, conscription,
and many other security-related issues. It also raises important general
questions about issues such as trust in government, agenda setting and policy
formulation in an aging democracy.
We are collecting data from a nationally representative, web-enabled
longitudinal panel of 1500 adults at three waves over the course of the project
period. The specific aims of this research are to explore the relationships
among (a) aging and age cohorts; (b) individual interpretations of and responses
to security-relevant forms of global turbulence and transformation; and (c)
social and political outcomes such as changes in support for or protest against
the use of force abroad, attitudes towards surveillance at home, and one’s level
of trust in government. We will use the threat of transnational terrorism as the
primary example of global turbulence and transformation, but we believe the
findings generated by our research are equally relevant to issues such as
infectious disease, severe weather events, and transnational crime.

- Publications -
Matthew, Richard, Bryan McDonald and George
Shambaugh. (2008). "Post-9/11 America: Conventional Wisdom Versus Popular
Pragmatism."
Democracy & Society, Vol. 5 No. 2 (Spring 2008).
Silver, Roxane Cohen and Richard A. Matthew (in
press).
"Terrorism." In V. N. Parrillo (Ed.), Encyclopedia of Social Problems.
Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.

- Presentations -
McDonald, Bryan. (2008, April). "Food Security in
Turbulent Times: Challenges from Nutrition, Safety and Environmental Change."
Presented to the Osher Lifelong Learning Institute, Irvine, California.
Matthew, Richard, Bryan McDonald and George
Shambaugh (2008, March). "Global Change and U.S. Public Opinion: Challenging
Common Assumptions about the Impact of Terrorism." Presented at the 49th Annual
Convention of the International Studies Association, San Francisco, California,
March 26th - March 29th, 2008.
Poulin, Michael J. Roxane Cohen Silver, and Scott
Blum (2008, March). "How Does Terrorism Affect Policy? The Salience of 9/11,
Terrorism Risk Perceptions, and Support for Terrorism-related Policies."
Presented at the 49th Annual Convention of the International Studies
Association, San Francisco, California, March 26th - March 29th, 2008.
Shambaugh, George (2008, March). "Post-9/11
America: Conventional Wisdom versus Popular Pragmatism." Presented to
the
International Politics Series at St. Andrews University, Scotland, UK, on March
3, 2008
Shambaugh, George (2008, February). "Post-9/11
America: Conventional Wisdom versus Popular Pragmatism."
Frank Wright
Memorial Lecture, Queen's University, Belfast, NI, on February 28, 2008.
McDonald, Bryan. (2008, January). “Navigating the
Changing Security Landscape.” Presented to the UC, Irvine Chancellor's Club,
Irvine, CA.
Shambaugh, George (2008, January). "Post 9/11
America: Popular Pragmatism in Turbulent Times." Presented to School of Advanced
International Studies, The Johns Hopkins University,
Washington, D.C.
Matthew, Richard. (2007, December). "Think Again:
9/11 Transformed America." Presented to Center for Unconventional Security
Affairs Advisory Board, Irvine, CA.
Silver, Roxane Cohen (2007, January). "Coping with
Life's Tragedies: From Research to Policy." Plenary Speaker, Society for
Personality and Social Psychology’s Annual Presidential Symposium, Memphis, TN.
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Matthew, Richard. (2008).
"Threat Assessment." In
Global Climate Change National Security Implications. Carolyn
Pumphrey, ed. The Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College.
Seery, M. D., Silver, R.
C., Holman, E. A., Ence, W. A., & Chu, T. Q. (in press). Expressing
thoughts and feelings following a collective trauma: Immediate responses
to 9/11 predict negative outcomes in a national sample. Journal of
Consulting and Clinical Psychology.
Updegraff, J. A., Silver, R. C., & Holman, E. A. (in press). Searching
for and finding meaning in collective trauma: Results from a national
longitudinal study of the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Journal of
Personality and Social Psychology.
Suvak, M., Maguen, S.,
Litz, B. T., Silver, R. C., & Holman, E. A. (2008). Indirect exposure to
the September 11 terrorist attacks: Does symptom structure resemble PTSD?
Journal of Traumatic Stress, 21, 30-39.
Holman, E. A., Silver, R.
C., Poulin, M., Andersen, J., Gil-Rivas, V., & McIntosh, D. N. (2008).
Terrorism, acute stress, and cardiovascular health: A 3-year national
study following the September 11th attacks. Archives of General
Psychiatry, 65, 73-80.
Brown, L. M., Schinka, J.
A., & Silver, R. C. (2007). Disasters and terrorism. In K. S. Markides
(Ed.), Encyclopedia of health and aging (pp. 159-162). Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage.
Gil-Rivas, V., Silver, R. C., Holman, E. A., McIntosh, D. N., & Poulin,
M. (2007). Parental response and adolescent adjustment to the September
11, 2001 terrorist attacks. Journal of Traumatic Stress, 20,
1063-1068.
Chu, T.Q., Seery, M. D.,
Ence, W. A., Holman, E. A., & Silver, R. C. (2006). Ethnicity and gender
in the face of a terrorist attack: A national longitudinal study of
immediate responses and outcomes two years after September 11. Basic
and Applied Social Psychology, 28, 291-301.
Matthew, Richard and Bryan
McDonald. "Cities
Under Siege: Urban Planning and the Threat of Infectious Disease."
Journal of the American Planning Association (JAPA) Vol. 72 No. 1
(Winter 2006): 109-117.
Schlenger, W. E., &
Silver, R. C. (2006). Web-based methods in terrorism and disaster
research. Journal of Traumatic Stress, 19, 185-193.
Silver, R. C., Holman, E.
A., McIntosh, D. N., Poulin, M., Gil-Rivas, V., & Pizarro, J. (2006).
Coping with a national trauma: A nationwide longitudinal study of
responses to the terrorist attacks of September 11. In Y. Neria, R.
Gross, R. Marshall, & E. Susser (Eds.), 9/11: Mental health in the
wake of terrorist attacks (pp. 45-70). NY: Cambridge University
Press.
Silver, R. C.
(2006, September/October).
Attacking the myths. Science & Spirit, 17 (5), 26-29.
Holman, E. A., & Silver R. C. (2005). Future-oriented thinking and
adjustment in a nationwide longitudinal study following the September 11th
terrorist attacks. Motivation and Emotion, 29, 389-410.
Matthew, Richard and George Shambaugh. "The Limits of Terrorism: A Network
Perspective."
International Studies Review Vol. 7 No 4 (December 2005).
Matthew, Richard and George Shambaugh. "The Pendulum Effect: Explaining Shifts in
the Democratic Response to Terrorism." ASAP:
Analyses of Social
Issues and Public Policy Vol. 5 No. 1 (2005).
Gil-Rivas, V., Holman, E.
A., & Silver, R. C. (2004). Adolescent vulnerability following the
September 11th terrorist attacks: A study of parents and their children.
Applied Developmental Science, 8, 130-142.
Matthew,
Richard A. and Bryan McDonald. "Networks
of Threat and Vulnerability: Lessons from Environmental Security Research."
Environmental Change and Security Project Report 10 (2004).
Silver, R.
C., Poulin, M., Holman, E. A., McIntosh, D. N., Gil-Rivas, V., &
Pizarro, J. (2004). Exploring the myths of coping with a national
trauma: A longitudinal study of responses to the September 11th
terrorist attacks. Journal of Aggression, Maltreatment & Trauma,
9, 129-141.
Silver, R. C.
(2004). Conducting research after the 9/11 terrorist attacks:
Challenges and results. Families, Systems & Health, 22,
47-51.
Silver, R. C. (2004). The myths of
healing. Families, Systems & Health, 22, 61-63.
Silver, R. C., Holman, E.
A., McIntosh, D. N., Poulin, M., & Gil-Rivas, V. (2002). Nationwide
longitudinal study of psychological responses to September 11. JAMA:
Journal of the American Medical Association, 288,
1235-1244.
Matthew, Richard A. &
George Shambaugh. 1998. "Sex, Drugs and Heavy Metal: Transnational Threats
and National Vulnerabilities." Security Dialogue 29 (2).
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For more information about this
project, please contact:
Center for Unconventional Security
Affairs
University of California, Irvine
Social Ecology I
Irvine, CA 92697-7075
Phone: (949) 824-8804
E-mail: cusa@uci.edu
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